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Before judging whether qualifications have lost value, distinguish population education statistics from employment returns

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Education category 2020 census: people 2010 → 2020: per 100,000 2025 survey estimate: people
College level or above, including junior college 218,360,767 8,930 → 15,467 272,330,000
Senior secondary, including secondary vocational 213,005,258 14,032 → 15,088 242,720,000
Junior secondary 487,163,489 38,788 → 34,507 452,830,000
Primary 349,658,828 26,779 → 24,767 331,220,000

For people aged 15 or older, the 2020 mean schooling measure was 9.91 years, up from 9.08. It is calculated from education categories, not a measurement of every person's actual years in class. The published illiteracy rate changed from 4.08% to 2.67%. Its numerator is people aged 15 or older who cannot read; its denominator is the defined total population, not just people aged 15 or older.

The 2025 survey reference time is midnight at the start of 1 November 2025, using a sample of 20.52 million (1.46% of the population). Its estimated total was 1,405,450,000. The bulletin reports a 0.72% net undercount and says the total includes the population adjustment calculated from it. Calculating from the rounded published counts gives about 19.4% college-level or above and 32.2% junior secondary; these percentages are our calculations, not figures quoted directly in the bulletin. The 2025 Jianping County Statistics Bureau explanation distinguishes ordinary higher education from adult-education routes. Ordinary-college students, graduates, completers and leavers report their studied junior-college or undergraduate level. Adult-college and correspondence students or leavers report their previous education level; self-study examinations require the corresponding graduation certificate. College-level population therefore cannot be labelled all college graduates. Complete cross-year statistical comparability remains unverified.

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HowToLiveBetter — eternity4719 & contributors · CC BY 4.0

Reorganized here with reference translations; no endorsement by the original authors is implied.

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